Unpacking Sydney’s Moving Trends

From economic drivers and property prices through to demo- graphics, education, infrastructure and more, join us as we take a look at the moving trends we seein Sydney and NSW.

Introduction

Sydney is the oldest, largest, and most populous city in Australia and the state capital of New South Wales. From its world-class beaches and scenic coastline walks, the city extends all the way from its bustling CBD out to the bushland and magnificent national parks.

As one of the most popular cities in the world with a high happiness index, rich job market and constant development, many people move to Sydney – but a significant number are also moving out to start new lives elsewhere.

Join us as we take a look at the moving trends around Sydney and its various characteristics that affect the comings and goings of both Australians and foreign residents.

Sydney’s Housing Market

One of the first things that has a push or pull effect on a person’s decision to move to Sydney is of course, what the housing market looks like.

Whether someone is looking to rent or buy, they will want to go somewhere that’s stable, affordable and with plenty of choices.

The Sydney property market has been one of the strongest and most consistent performers over the last four decades, providing rich ground for investors and new residents alike – even despite some small drops most likely due to the aftereffects of the pandemic.

• The city’s median price for houses now stands at $1.257 million, down 6.1% since the last quarter and down 9.3% over the year.
• Units have fallen 3.3% over the quarter and 6.8% over the year to a new $783,406 median.

Source: propertyupdate.com.au/the-latest-median-property-prices-in-Australia’s-major-cities/#sydneysmedian-property-price

However, according to the graph below from CoreLogic, Sydney house values have increased 507% over thirty years to $1.34 million, while unit values have increased 340.1% over the same period to $806,310.

Sydney House and Unit Values

Thirty years to July 2022

Top 10 Suburbs by Price

One of the main draws of Sydney for movers is just how much variety there is in terms of suburb variety.

Each has its own flavour, offering everything from multicultural markets and events to nature, walks, beaches, ports and more. But, just like with any big city, it’s all about what budget the person has.

Most Expensive Sydney Suburbs

Suburbs	Median House Price	Median House Unit
Tamarama	$9.2 million	$2.5 million
Vaucluse	$9.1 million	$1.35 million
Darling Point	$8.88 million	$2.75 million
Bellevue Hill	$8.51 million	$1.58 million
Centennial Park	$7.46 million	$780000
Woolwich	$6.82 million	N/A
Double Bay	$6.32 million	$2.17 million
Dover Heights	$6.08 million	$982500
Mosman	$4.75 million	$1.68 million
Rose Bay	$5.81 million	$1.45 million

Sources : domain.com.au/sale/sydney-nsw-2000 , realestate.com.au/nsw/sydney-2000

Most Affordable Suburbs in Sydney

Suburbs	Median House Price	Median House Unit
Ambarvale	$763,500	$490,00
Blacktown	$913,500	$490,00
Emerton	$695,000	Data unavailable
Fairfield	$940,000	$430,000
Minto	$872,500	$507,500
Ashcroft	$812,000	Data unavailable
Carramar	$872,500	$345,000
Leumeah	$779,000	$470,000
Blackett	$680,000	Data unavailable
Bidwill	$680,000	Data unavailable

Source: www.openagent.com.au

Schools in Sydney

Those with families will be keeping a close eye on the proximity of schools in Sydney, and many move into better catchment areas for this reason.

The city is home to several excellent schools, and Australia’s educational standards are among the highest in the world.

Sydney provides a ton of excellent options whether someone is searching for a nearby or out-of-town school, a private or public school, and specialist facilities such as single-sex or co-educational classrooms.

Where People Are Working in Sydney

Another primary factor that affects the moving trends to and from Sydney is centred around employment.

Sydney is well-known across the world for its prowess in the core fields of professional and financial services, information technology, healthcare, education, and research.

• 126,887 people living in the City of Sydney in 2021 were employed, of which 65% worked full-time and 25% part-time
• In the City of Sydney, 43.6% of workers were Professionals, compared to 25.9% in New South Wales.

Source : Australian Bureau of Statistics, Census of Population and Housing 2016 and 2021

Local Sydney Worker Occupations, 2021

All industries – resident

Who’s living in Sydney?

There has been a trend for many years now of international communities settling into Sydney and calling it home. Here’s a snapshot of how it looks:

• The Census shows that in the City of Sydney in 2011 the population was 211,632, living in 124,116 dwellings with an average household size of 1.89.

Source : profile.id.com.au/sydney/population

• Top five ancestries : Australian, English, Irish, Scottish and Chinese.
• Top five languages : (other than English) : Arabic, Mandarin, Cantonese, Vietnamese and Greek.
• Top six countries of birth : Australia, England, China, New Zealand, India and Vietnam.

Religious Makeup

Religious	Religious
No religion	26.6%
Religious affiliation not stated	22.6%
Buddhism	16.1%
Catholic	14.6%
Anglican	4.7%
Hinduism	2.4%
Christian	2.3%
Presbyterian and Reformed	1.8%
Uniting Church	1.8%
Islam	1.6%

Source : population.net.au/sydney-population

More about Sydneysiders

With so many people moving to the country from different countries, cultures and economic backgrounds, there’s a lot of data that can be examined. Here’s a look at the latest numbers from various areas of life.

• Median Age

  City of Sydney : 34
  Greater Sydney : 37

• Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population

  City of Sydney : 1.4%
  Greater Sydney : 1.7%

• Couples with children

  City of Sydney : 10%
  Greater Sydney : 34%

• Older couples without children

  City of Sydney : 3%
  Greater Sydney : 9%

• Long person households

  City of Sydney : 38%
  Greater Sydney : 22%

• Medium and high-density housing

  City of Sydney : 97%
  Greater Sydney : 46%

• Median weekly household income

  City of Sydney : $2,310
  Greater Sydney : $2,099

• Median weekly mortgage repayment

  City of Sydney : $623
  Greater Sydney : $560

• Median weekly rent

  City of Sydney : $550
  Greater Sydney : $470

• Households that rent

  City of Sydney : 61%
  Greater Sydney : 35%

• Households with mortgage

  City of Sydney : 18%
  Greater Sydney : 32%

• Born overseas

  City of Sydney : 49%
  Greater Sydney : 39%

• Language other than English at home

  City of Sydney : 35%
  Greater Sydney : 37%

• University Attendance

  City of Sydney : 11%
  Greater Sydney : 6%

• University qualifications

  City of Sydney : 53%
  Greater Sydney : 33%

• Trade qualification (certificate)

  City of Sydney : 8%
  Greater Sydney : 15%

• Unemployment rate

  City of Sydney : 5.6%
  Greater Sydney : 5.1%

Source : profile.id.com.au/sydney/highlights

Where People Move To In Sydney

The metropolitan region has around 650 suburbs that extend 70 kilometres to the west, 40 kilometres to the north, and 60 kilometres to the south.

Greater Sydney encompasses the area around its well-known harbour and stretches from the coast in the east back to the Blue Mountains’ foothills.

The fashionable inner suburbs and crowded beaches, such as Bondi Beach, are located south of the harbour.

A busy business centre and some of Sydney’s wealthiest districts, including the Upper and Lower North Shores, can be found in North Sydney, which connects to the CBD by the Sydney Harbour Bridge and tunnel.

There is a motorway link being planned to connect the pricey eastern suburbs and the western district, which makes up most of metropolitan Sydney.

How people get around

Transport is a huge factor that someone will consider when moving to Sydney.

For some, the sheer amount of traffic is reason enough to think about moving out of the city, but for others, the overall availability of other options is a draw.

• Sydney is built around the world’s largest harbour.
• People travel and commute using road, rail and ferry.
• A light rail system is planned to connect outlying suburbs to existing rail lines, as well as to the Eastern suburbs.
• Sydney Airport handles over 35m passengers a year connects directly to over 100 global destinations and is only 8km from the city

What The Economy Looks Like

Unless there’s no other choice, most people typically don’t move to a city with a bad or falling economy. For them, the move is often economically driven.

Originally an industrial centre, Sydney has transformed into a metropolis of high-end, knowledge-based jobs in the business and financial services sectors, becoming the hub of Asia- Pacific’s economic hub.

• City of Sydney Gross Regional Product

  $131.24bn

• City of Sydney Gross State Product

  20.73%

• Average individual Employee wage

  $1,300/w

• Accounted for Australia’s GDP, Pre-pandemic

  30%

Arrivals and Departures

Updated budget figures show 57,300 residents have left New South Wales for another state since the first half of 2020. In NSW alone, 460 people a day left the state through the final six months compared to 303 who moved in.

However, overall, the population has still seen growth as more people move to the city.

Year	Population	Growth Rate
2017	5.37 million	2.29%
2018	5.48 million	2.05%
2019	5.73 million	4.56%
2020	5.90 million	2.97%
2021	6.13 million	3.90%

Source : population.net.au/sydney-population

Where People Come From, and Where They Go

Why people are moving

The latest Census data showed Aussies move house more often than ever before and a new national survey in May 2021 revealed 72% of Aussies believe the trend will continue.

Top three reasons for moving to regional Australia :

1. More space (77%)
2. Nature preference (77%)
3. Better wellbeing (75%)

Top three reasons people are leaving busy cities :

1. Traffic congestion (70%)
2. Less stress and anxiety (69%)
3. Reducing the cost of living (68%)

More Stats

• Compare to men, women are more likely to move for a change of scenery (49% vs. 44%).
• 81% of 65+ years old would move for a change of scene, compared to 42% of 18-24 years old.
• A third of Australians say they would move for love, and 32% said they would be content to move away to live with a spouse or partner.
• Compare to 28% of mortgage-holding homeowners, 38% of renters would relocate to a less expensive home.
• A third of Australians (31%) said they would relocate if it meant their current or future children might attend a better school.

Source : Regional Australia Institute, The Big Movers Report, 2020

Looking ahead

The pandemic put the world in a tailspin, and Sydney was no different.

The past few years have been unusual and therefore do not fully reflect moving trends, as so many people were unable to travel, and global economies were in a fragile state.

Now that things are returning to normal, so will the number of people moving to this highly dynamic, prosperous and culturally rich city.

• NSW is projected to grow 85,000 people each year on average until 2041
• Recent trends suggest that the population of regional NSW will grow by 570,000 to 3.7 million in 2041.
• The population of Greater Sydney will increase to approximately 6.1 million by 2041 — more than a million people than currently live there.
• Property prices will drop in 2023 but will bounce back in 2024.

Source : planning.nsw.gov.au/Research-and-Demography/Population-projections